Celebrated-Transom
0xa319193adef7863ff6af371cdef587400cb902da
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$24.69
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$60.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$24.69
$4.69
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
1100 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-237.50
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?
293 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?
218 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Kings
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Feb 9, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Feb 9, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$100.00Feb 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$100.00Feb 9, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Feb 9, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$119.88Feb 9, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Feb 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$100.00Feb 9, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$100.00Feb 9, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$129.22Feb 9, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$100.00Feb 9, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$105.26Feb 9, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$100.00Feb 9, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$101.78Feb 9, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$89.37Feb 9, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$20.00Feb 9, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?$63.29Feb 9, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$69.44Feb 9, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?$294.12Feb 9, 07:46 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Jan 21, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $55.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 04:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".