Qualified-Gaiters
0xa330c5e7a5b5bf62770cc9ee797b166a5e5819cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$2.50
Total PnL
$-270.11
Realised
$44.03
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
32 shares @ 6.2¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.71
$-1.29
- YES
Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
135 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
45 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.18
$-1.82
- YES
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
68 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.17
$-1.83
- YES
Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
76 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?$5.69Jul 2, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$6.66Jul 2, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$5.06Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?$5.03Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$5.12Jun 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 13, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jun 5, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.03Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.03Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.02Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.02Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.02Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.02Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.02Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$2.55Jun 4, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$4.70Jun 4, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$0.33Jun 4, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$0.12Jun 4, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.01Jun 4, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$25.53Jun 4, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.