Alarmed-Birdbath
0xa337b5186971d73d0c2f4d059f01cd4a7fd81168
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$11.95
Total PnL
$-2.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Trump flips Kamala on 538 before election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$2.22
$1.22
- DODGERS
Dodgers vs. Mets Series Winner
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2024$1.67
$0.67
- WILSON
Who will start week 7 for the Steelers?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2024$1.49
$0.49
- TRUMP
Who will win white women?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Trump release medical records before the election?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.05
$0.05
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.04
$0.04
- NO
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
1 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.03
$0.68
- NO
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWho will win white women?$1.00Oct 25, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu pandemic in 2024?$1.00Oct 25, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Mets Series Winner$1.00Oct 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$0.30Oct 16, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2024 be the hottest year on record?$1.00Oct 16, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?$1.00Oct 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$0.75Oct 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?$0.35Oct 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$0.50Oct 16, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?$1.00Oct 16, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on October 18?$1.00Oct 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?$1.00Oct 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump flips Kamala on 538 before election?$1.00Oct 16, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$1.00Oct 16, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will start week 7 for the Steelers?$1.00Oct 16, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Binance list $DEGEN in 2024?$1.00Oct 16, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release medical records before the election? $1.00Oct 16, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".