Selfish-Readiness
0xa338e7e19cda9470e966f4b191ec46580cec2aca
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
141
Open notional
$88.33
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-5.33
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$63.33
$-36.67
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$25.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
20001 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-73.94
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
6000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-194.69
- YES
Will HOTU Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
5469 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-54.69
- NEMIGA
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
268 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
250 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?
207 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$28.54Jul 29, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$15.34Jul 29, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$15.33Jul 29, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$28.00Jul 29, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.59Jul 29, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.50Jul 29, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.91Jul 29, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$15.33Jul 29, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$15.17Jul 29, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$15.29Jul 28, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$29.23Jul 28, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$15.59Jul 28, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$29.57Jul 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$15.60Jul 28, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$15.44Jul 28, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$15.75Jul 28, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$26.14Jul 28, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$15.53Jul 28, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$15.81Jul 27, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$15.34Jul 27, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $16.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.