Luxurious-Accompanist
0xa33c6c0cae73ac718855b1bf1789285e5693ea80
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-205.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3402 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-21.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on April 2?
2320 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1833 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.60
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 2?
1392 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
1268 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
871 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
788 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$8.05Jun 21, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$5.20Jun 20, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$10.39Jun 20, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$15.59Jun 20, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?$5.20Jun 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$5.20Jun 19, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$5.20Jun 19, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$7.00Apr 28, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.50Apr 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.50Apr 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?$1.00Apr 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 13, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.00Apr 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 13, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$5.00Apr 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$5.00Apr 13, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.