Defiant-Gamebird
0xa34429d549f23fe45a9ca5442b79b365cd2f8141
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$260.88
Realised
$276.53
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
1085 shares @ 85.8¢·now 92.6¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.0K
$73.60
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
800 shares @ 74.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$723.95
$127.19
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
434 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$431.80
$11.32
- YES
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
399 shares @ 79.5¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$319.03
$1.82
- NO
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by June 30?
131 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$125.35
$8.96
- YES
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
119 shares @ 94.6¢·now 93.4¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$111.43
$-1.49
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
400 shares @ 15.7¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.92
$17.15
- YES
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
80 shares @ 71.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$63.20
$6.40
- NO
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
67 shares @ 44.4¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.46
$13.52
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
67 shares @ 44.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.13
$-4.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?$99.10Jun 18, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$30.80Jun 18, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$4.26Jun 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$112.91Jun 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$47.40Jun 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$19.75Jun 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$322.04Jun 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$20.50Jun 17, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$49.20Jun 17, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$8.64Jun 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$54.12Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$32.00Jun 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$24.00Jun 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$17.75Jun 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$17.00Jun 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$79.00Jun 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$15.00Jun 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$3.60Jun 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$11.65Jun 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$3.68Jun 17, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $71.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.