0xa345e75abb64b86fbe5700c87361d0283d6655af
0xa345e75abb64b86fbe5700c87361d0283d6655af
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-898.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?
690 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-324.30
- NO
Will Jalen Brunson score 31+ points against the Pacers?
635 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-298.45
- YES
Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
600 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-126.00
- NO
Will Trump say "NAFTA" during his cabinet meeting on April 10?
120 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-82.80
- RAJASTHAN
Gujarat Titans vs. Rajasthan Royals
55 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2025$0.00
$-24.75
- YES
Will Gen Z Quant rug another coin by Friday?
35 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- LYON
UEFA Europa League: Lyon vs. Man United (To Advance)
25 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8 AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- NO
March Madness: Team from the SEC to win?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8 AM ET$10.00Jun 6, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$10.00Jun 5, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$6.80Jun 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on June 4?$5.00Jun 3, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on June 4?$5.00Jun 3, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11 PM ET$5.00Jun 2, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11 PM ET$5.00Jun 2, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMHamilton vs. Russell$5.00Jun 2, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamilton vs. Russell$2.90May 31, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks win and Brunson scores 31+ points? $5.00May 30, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks win and Brunson scores 31+ points? $1.80May 29, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.30May 29, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.25May 29, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson score 31+ points against the Pacers? $298.45May 29, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Free speech" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$300.00May 29, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (5 AM ET Candle)$2.45May 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance say "Decentralized" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$2.55May 27, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Decentralized" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$2.05May 27, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Free speech" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$195.00May 27, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$126.00Apr 23, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $59.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.