Agonizing-Gradient
0xa3492fdb5beb5b390194870569c462584cfd6c56
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$3.87
Total PnL
$-388.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
225 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- MIBR
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-13?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- TITANS
Patriots vs. Titans
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYValorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$40.16Jun 10, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.72Jun 10, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$20.22Jun 10, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$20.22Jun 10, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.03Jun 10, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 9, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 9, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 9, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 9, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$0.00Jun 9, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$17.86Jun 9, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$10.13Jun 8, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$41.98Jun 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$2.05Jun 8, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$20.31Jun 8, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$1.86Jun 7, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$5.09Jun 7, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$19.97Jun 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$0.92Oct 29, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?$3.32Oct 27, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $22.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 17:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.