Agonizing-Gradient
0xa3492fdb5beb5b390194870569c462584cfd6c56
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-739.06
Realised
$-7.48
Win rate
0%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
225 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- ONIC
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs
176 shares @ 79.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- MIBR
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-13?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- TITANS
Patriots vs. Titans
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
65 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Jul 10, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$8.11Jul 10, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$6.98Jul 10, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.17Jul 10, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$6.94Jul 10, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.10Jul 10, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$4.49Jul 10, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$4.03Jul 10, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$4.35Jul 10, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$3.07Jul 10, 01:31 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.42Jul 8, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.00Jul 7, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$200.00Jul 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.00Jul 7, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$11.63Jul 7, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$3.00Jul 7, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$5.88Jul 7, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$77.09Jul 7, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$35.71Jul 7, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$4.29Jul 7, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
33 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $17.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 01:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.