Urban-Reorganisation
0xa34d206d23c58d0f147809a98cc700ab944167fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?
4626 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?
3303 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-551.14
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?
890 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-560.70
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Brewers
630 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-201.60
- BAUTISTA AGUT
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Bautista Agut
560 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 1?
250 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- ORIOLES
Orioles vs. Cubs
160 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-51.20
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
159 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-82.68
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?
156 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$0.50Dec 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.00Dec 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$2.00Dec 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.50Dec 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?$12.44Dec 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?$35.61Dec 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$184.62Dec 23, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$249.75Dec 23, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$446.85Dec 23, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$150.40Dec 23, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$420.00Dec 23, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$666.00Dec 23, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$10.18Nov 9, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$13.53Nov 9, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?$44.28Nov 9, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$57.51Nov 9, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$16.51Nov 5, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$6.43Nov 5, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$6.43Nov 5, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $57.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.