Marvelous-Liar
0xa35c1655dc9c1f6f05813ff3ce49283e323da071
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$25.48
Total PnL
$-0.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
15 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$15.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Han Duck-soo register for presidential run?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$15.00Oct 10, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?$5.00Oct 10, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30?$5.00Oct 10, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Fight or Flight' gross more than $1.5m opening weekend?$1.54Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran enrich uranium to 90% before June?$2.04Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?$2.13Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Shadow Force' gross less than $1.2m opening weekend?$3.02Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$4.03Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?$15.45Oct 10, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?$2.00May 10, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran enrich uranium to 90% before June?$2.00May 10, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Shadow Force' gross less than $1.2m opening weekend?$3.00May 10, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Fight or Flight' gross more than $1.5m opening weekend?$1.50May 10, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Duck-soo register for presidential run?$1.00May 10, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?$15.00May 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$4.00May 10, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 by February 28 2025?$4.19Mar 5, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?$4.21Mar 5, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?$20.10Mar 5, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $100 by February 28 2025?$4.15Feb 27, 08:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $393.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".