Cuddly-Gasp
0xa3625758e2d198acb85b61445ac0e10c00e0d665
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-492.06
Realised
$-19.06
Win rate
4%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
857 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
578 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
63 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Aug 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.03Aug 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.12Aug 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.03Aug 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.03Aug 16, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.04Aug 16, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.62Aug 16, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.03Aug 16, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.19Aug 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.72Aug 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.88Aug 14, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$2.27Aug 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.04Aug 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.61Aug 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.03Aug 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.94Aug 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.04Aug 13, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 14:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.