Thirsty-Raft
0xa36e8269d28a421a0af855b127c258936fed47fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-81.02
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on February 4?
1014 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.43
- YES
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?
121 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
121 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?
108 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.36
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
106 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.32
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
- JAZZ
Knicks vs. Jazz
54 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- FORDHAM RAMS
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham Rams
22 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage$1.00Apr 5, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.02Apr 5, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5$1.00Mar 26, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.00Mar 24, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.06Mar 24, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.00Mar 23, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.01Mar 23, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$0.00Mar 23, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?$0.00Mar 23, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Heat$1.00Mar 23, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5$1.00Mar 23, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.10Mar 21, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5$1.00Mar 20, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.01Mar 20, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals$4.00Mar 18, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks$3.00Mar 18, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?$3.03Mar 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?$7.00Mar 18, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?$10.94Mar 18, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".