Natural-Portrait
0xa37d1b238e599befafae9cfa032c85bf396a8bbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$16.22
Total PnL
$-17.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$8.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.00Dec 10, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$500.00Dec 5, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$15.53Dec 5, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$250.00Dec 5, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$234.47Dec 5, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$500.00Dec 5, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$250.00Dec 5, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$250.00Dec 5, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$250.00Dec 5, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$250.00Dec 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$500.00Dec 5, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$500.00Dec 5, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$250.00Dec 4, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$250.00Dec 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$501.00Dec 4, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$250.00Dec 4, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$247.00Dec 4, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $161.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".