Failing-Joint
0xa3803fb09f22623f9fe64fc83dd25df0cbee08a4
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$67.27
Total PnL
$-65.49
Realised
$2.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
142 shares @ 89.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Oct 7, 2026$66.24
$-60.96
- YES
Will the National Movement of Independents win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.45
$-0.05
- YES
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
2 shares @ 1.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.11
$0.08
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.06
$-0.99
- YES
Will Patrik Schick be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
75 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.04
$-1.01
- YES
Will Jamal Musiala be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
50 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.03
$-0.33
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.03
$-0.42
- YES
Will Serhou Guirassy be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
50 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.03
$-0.68
- YES
Will Victor Boniface be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.03
$-0.23
- YES
Will Tim Kleindienst be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?
50 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.03
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?$115.357h ago
- TRADEBUYEli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?$12.447h ago
- REDEEMWill Mark Daignault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Juuse Saros win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill the Calgary Flames win the Western Conference?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Thomas Detry win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Beşiktaş win the Süper Lig?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill James Harden lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Derrick White lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Tony Finau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.007h ago
- REDEEMWill Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.007h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $63.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7h ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
