Royal-Observatory
0xa381057717cfc0e473d63f414bd7fbdc263ee40a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-571.53
Realised
$1.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
343 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?
198 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-122.93
- KINGS
Kings vs. Sharks
159 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.01
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2025-11-21?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will USL Dunkerque win on 2025-11-21?
52 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-21?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?$122.93Nov 29, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMKinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?$0.00Nov 29, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$15.00Nov 29, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?$33.30Nov 28, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?$20.00Nov 28, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?$20.00Nov 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?$100.00Nov 27, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?$60.12Nov 27, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?$70.00Nov 27, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLKinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?$182.00Nov 27, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?$134.00Nov 27, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26?$6.99Nov 26, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-26?$7.99Nov 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting CP vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?$8.74Nov 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Páfos FC win on 2025-11-26?$8.98Nov 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC København win on 2025-11-26?$8.99Nov 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?$8.99Nov 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?$9.99Nov 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?$10.75Nov 26, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?$14.27Nov 26, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".