Arid-Accountant
0xa38497fab1332ec4f92b05730409e9e8efce210a
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$10.25
Total PnL
$5.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$5.26
$4.26
- YES
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
US government shutdown in 2025?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$1.00Oct 20, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 14, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 9, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.00Sep 28, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 26, 02:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 02:12 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 20, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.