0xa38b2001f4d8a4544cf859a06d08512ea8e10bcf
0xa38b2001f4d8a4544cf859a06d08512ea8e10bcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-47.19
Realised
$-3.22
Win rate
0%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBrentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5$1.06Aug 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 10?$1.08Aug 10, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7?$1.08Aug 7, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.51Aug 7, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.05Aug 7, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.05Aug 7, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.03Aug 7, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 4?$1.08Aug 2, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.72Aug 2, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.04Aug 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - August 1, 2AM ET$1.16Aug 1, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 1, 2AM ET$1.02Aug 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 1, 2AM ET$1.06Aug 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 28?$1.08Jul 28, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jul 28, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.01Jul 28, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.34Jul 28, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.06Jul 28, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.03Jul 28, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.54Jul 28, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
37 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.