Untrue-Opportunity
0xa3916f2aec920d88c04bc7f8242a88e12b44341f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.12Mar 1, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$5.56Mar 1, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$1.00Feb 19, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$1.00Feb 19, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.00Feb 11, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 11, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?$2.04Jan 29, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 29, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$6.00Jan 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 27, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 27, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$2.00Jan 24, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$1.00Jan 24, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$1.00Jan 24, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?$1.00Jan 24, 08:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 02:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.