Possible-Burden
0xa39a5608d0bb9ebd8b628ca8a6ac86db61ac3d07
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-31.9K
Realised
$-711.66
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1520 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.5K
$4.56
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
53931 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.4K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
49422 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.7K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
49248 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-814.32
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?
38874 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.2K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
33273 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.3K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
11521 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
7401 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.05
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 48 million views on day 2?
1116 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-217.76
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 44 million views on day 2?
1116 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-217.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.5KApr 30, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get 60 million or more views on day 2?$400.01Mar 6, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 2?$1.1KMar 6, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.31Feb 9, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$49.2KFeb 9, 07:24 UTC
- REWARD$6.07Feb 9, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?$1.00Feb 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?$1.00Feb 8, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?$1.00Feb 8, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$42.85Feb 8, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?$1.00Feb 8, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?$0.07Feb 8, 12:30 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of MrBeast video day 2?$399.44Feb 8, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.31Feb 8, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.90Feb 8, 10:53 UTC
- MERGEWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$4.5KFeb 8, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$63.90Feb 8, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?$0.40Feb 8, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?$1.00Feb 8, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 60 million views on day 2?$148.50Feb 8, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $456.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".