Incompatible-Casement
0xa39c56d545acb4509e228ec630e78f6786b21aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Trump x Elon talk by Friday?
7126 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
452 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel declare war on Iran before July?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
89 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9AM ET$3.35Aug 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9AM ET$1.00Aug 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9AM ET$1.00Aug 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?$1.00Aug 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$2.89Jul 10, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?$1.00Jul 9, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$0.46Jul 9, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?$7.00Jul 6, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 9?$7.88Jul 6, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 9?$9.00Jul 6, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$1.00Jul 6, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$1.00Jul 6, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $2.00Jun 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran before July?$1.54Jun 29, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.00Jun 27, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before July?$3.00Jun 26, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$16.76Jun 26, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$4.00Jun 24, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".