Amazing-Gunpowder
0xa39d6ae596c7bf2a14294eb943a5b3b9de82b97f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-100.14
Realised
$-8.01
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?
618 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.54
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
236 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.48
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?
204 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-21.70
- NO
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
193 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
126 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will Trump say "Grinch" during Christmas Eve service member calls?
20 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$0.50Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$2.20Dec 31, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$2.50Dec 31, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?$1.20Dec 29, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$22.89Dec 29, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$19.80Dec 29, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$29.08Dec 29, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$197.79Dec 29, 09:40 UTC
- REWARD$1.16Dec 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$20.77Dec 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$185.12Dec 28, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$85.86Dec 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$51.63Dec 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$31.51Dec 28, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$183.04Dec 28, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$27.00Dec 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released in 2025?$23.33Dec 28, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$12.83Dec 28, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$14.20Dec 28, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Syria by December 31?$16.04Dec 28, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $41.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".