Sparkling-Webpage
0xa39dac3ca3605ee3c60256174d1f56cb670246b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.60
Total PnL
$-14.71
Realised
$0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
4 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.61
$0.02
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?
23 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-11.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.62Jun 13, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.05Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 13, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$1.03Jun 13, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$1.03Jun 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.03Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?$11.95Sep 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?$11.95Sep 27, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?$11.72Sep 26, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$11.72Sep 26, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$9.88Sep 26, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Sep 26, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.17Sep 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Sep 25, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.61Sep 25, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.