Vain-Scissors
0xa3a76757332db1030962fa94afb1f6ca453ddfb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.80
Total PnL
$-200.25
Realised
$1.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 23?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.47
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 23?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.33
$-0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 6?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 12?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 18?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 11?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 12?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 12?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 23?$0.50Jul 23, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$10.00Jul 23, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 23?$0.50Jul 23, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?$0.50Jul 22, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?$0.50Jul 22, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?$0.50Jul 22, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?$3.00Jul 22, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 22?$0.30Jul 22, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 22?$0.50Jul 22, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 22?$0.03Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 22?$0.02Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 22?$0.25Jul 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?$0.50Jul 22, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$20.00Jul 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 16?$0.02Jul 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 16?$0.05Jul 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 16?$0.03Jul 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$2.00Jul 16, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 16?$0.02Jul 16, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 16?$0.02Jul 16, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.