Staid-Cornflakes
0xa3ac101f72a11533c159f741b8df4b16d93a1dc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.11
Realised
$-109.39
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28?
108 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.96
- UP
XRP Up or Down on January 25?
101 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?
89 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 1?
88 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 21?
80 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.45 on March 22?
79 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-21.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 31?
72 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
70 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
70 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?
62 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?$171.96Jul 22, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?$168.86Jul 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 4?$2.92Jul 4, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25?$140.91Jun 25, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25?$139.36Jun 24, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?$1.83Jun 6, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 31?$1.46May 30, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$133.19May 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$131.19May 25, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMSisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?$21.20May 25, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?$1.20May 24, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 May 11-17?$124.55May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 May 11-17?$123.18May 17, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 11?$32.20May 17, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$121.40May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$0.15May 9, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$119.31May 9, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?$114.78May 9, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 19?$0.00Apr 30, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 27?$2.04Apr 26, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $44.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.