Splendid-Factor
0xa3b06d70436ad86dce57b4e621c797858ef7417b
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.10
Total PnL
$-23.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
4 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- ATHLETICS
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
59 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-22.56
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Seattle Mariners$22.99Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by March 13?$2.15Apr 22, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$18.14Apr 22, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$9.00Mar 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.00Mar 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$2.00Mar 10, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$9.00Mar 10, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$3.07Mar 10, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$7.02Mar 10, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $60 in February?$9.08Mar 10, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in February?$9.00Feb 25, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?$7.00Feb 25, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$3.00Feb 25, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.23Feb 25, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?$1.69Feb 25, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$1.74Feb 25, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.76Feb 25, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.83Feb 25, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$1.90Feb 25, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT win the okbet trading competition?$2.58Feb 25, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.