Intrepid-Pastoralist
0xa3b8e2206bc01088de67bc3c544f3942d5bdd5aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$57.96
Total PnL
$-18.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
21 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.00
$3.15
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
9 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.20
$1.20
- NO
Macron out in 2025?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.57
$0.57
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.78
$1.78
- NO
Iran nuclear test in 2025?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will McLaren finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$17.85Oct 19, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$0.00Oct 19, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$4.40Oct 19, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$7.04Oct 19, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$1.51Aug 28, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$4.30Aug 28, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 8-14?$0.00Aug 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than $800?$8.80Aug 28, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayrou out as French PM by September 30?$0.09Aug 28, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$0.00Aug 24, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$19.99Aug 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$11.36Aug 16, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$2.03Aug 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?$0.03Aug 15, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.42Aug 3, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.78Aug 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Aug 3, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?$2.86Aug 3, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France 2025?$2.94Aug 3, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$10.00Aug 3, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.