0xa3cd9532b437ddc252b86dc4bd20fad5fa001afa
0xa3cd9532b437ddc252b86dc4bd20fad5fa001afa
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.16
Total PnL
$-446.38
Realised
$-226.22
Win rate
5%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
2 shares @ 92.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
6413 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.77
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1054 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
310 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.01
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
191 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.83
- YES
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
BitBoy convicted?
136 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$0.00Jun 3, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.04May 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 21, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?$1.53May 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$0.00May 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$0.00May 4, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$0.00May 1, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$0.01May 1, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 1, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?$1.50Apr 22, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?$2.00Apr 22, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$4.04Apr 22, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$0.30Apr 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$2.00Apr 16, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$2.00Apr 16, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$1.07Apr 16, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$2.67Apr 16, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$0.01Apr 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$2.00Apr 15, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.