Reasonable-Sphynx
0xa3ced50855d7aab28a95cec7aefa4043aca50364
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.47
Total PnL
$-16.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.47
$3.47
- YES
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
174 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?
41 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Nosferatu" win Best Costume Design at the 2025 Oscars?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged before April?
16 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$4.72Jan 3, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?$0.00May 26, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dune: Part Two" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?$2.00Feb 21, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Feb 21, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$3.00Feb 21, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$2.00Feb 21, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nosferatu" win Best Costume Design at the 2025 Oscars?$1.00Feb 21, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Feb 21, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$20.00Feb 10, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$50.00Feb 9, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. 76ers$25.00Feb 5, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$5.01Feb 4, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYJoe Biden book deal in 2025?$5.00Feb 4, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. 76ers$15.00Feb 4, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?$10.00Feb 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged before April?$5.00Feb 4, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?$5.00Feb 4, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Record of the Year?$0.00Feb 4, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Good Luck, Babe!' win Song of the Year?$0.00Feb 4, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?$25.00Feb 4, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $7.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".