Direct-Squeegee
0xa3d17cc64f06287b5665c252d8bd42407b1a72bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$95.10
Total PnL
$-236.54
Realised
$-8.11
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
58 shares @ 42.8¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.65
$-1.35
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
53 shares @ 42.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.99
$0.79
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
44 shares @ 68.1¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.78
$-17.22
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.08
$-1.92
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.86
$-12.14
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
18 shares @ 27.3¢·now 28.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-15.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
91 shares @ 8.2¢·now 4.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.44
$-3.06
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
102 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.43
$-5.77
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $10.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.