Cautious-Motor
0xa3d967090724452e2d87995aec37f867752ba778
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$14.49
Total PnL
$0.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
6 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$3.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$3.00Jul 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$6.00Jul 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$5.00Jul 25, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$3.45Jul 25, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$5.01Jul 25, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.04Jul 25, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.25Jul 25, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$6.42Jul 25, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$6.00Apr 1, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.00Apr 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$7.04Apr 1, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$3.00Apr 1, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$7.00Feb 25, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$5.00Feb 25, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 27-Jan 3?$6.73Feb 25, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$7.01Feb 25, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMAleo airdrop in 2024?$7.02Feb 25, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.01Feb 25, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?$1.47Feb 25, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?$0.00Feb 25, 13:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.