Alarming-Cheese
0xa3dd588140e10f55e8517c754a6397f94aaf9038
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.14
Total PnL
$-2.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Solana ETF approved in 2024?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $1.00Jun 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina in 2025?$1.00Feb 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop in Q1 2025?$1.00Jan 14, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMKamala 538 odds 60%+ on Sept 6?$0.68Nov 8, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.81Nov 8, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.39Nov 8, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala 538 odds 60%+ on Sept 6?$0.50Sep 1, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lin Yu-Ting (TPE) win Gold in Women’s 57kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?$0.75Sep 1, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lin Yu-Ting (TPE) win Gold in Women’s 57kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?$0.60Aug 5, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.55Aug 5, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 15, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the FA Cup?$0.00Jul 15, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMEdmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?$0.00Jul 15, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMBlast airdrop by June 30?$1.09Jul 15, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win Group C?$1.16Jul 15, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win Group F?$1.33Jul 15, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group C?$1.00Jun 20, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group F?$1.00Jun 20, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in May?$1.03Jun 20, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mbappé sign for Real Madrid?$1.03Jun 20, 03:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $0.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.