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0xa3f58156cda4c74b99111302ded00d2e6f2842ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-780.21
Win rate
0%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)
1006 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-905.40
- HANWHA EAGLES
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos
400 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-310.00
- KIA TIGERS
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kia Tigers
280 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- ATLANTA BRAVES
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)
261 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-205.91
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres
185 shares @ 80.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-148.49
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
150 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-103.98
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)
127 shares @ 88.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-112.61
- KIA TIGERS
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. KT Wiz
107 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-78.38
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
105 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-80.85
- NEW ZEALAND
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
102 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-96.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$35.74Aug 12, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics$35.85Aug 12, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics$31.05Aug 12, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)$30.49Aug 12, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)$226.47Aug 12, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$226.79Aug 12, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$198.80Aug 12, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMKBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroes$94.00Aug 11, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroes$79.59Aug 11, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$184.54Aug 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$172.22Aug 11, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$172.23Aug 11, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$160.90Aug 11, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLHouston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants$159.40Aug 11, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants$148.92Aug 11, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$150.41Aug 11, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$137.64Aug 11, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLPhiladelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$137.65Aug 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals$125.95Aug 11, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves$126.02Aug 11, 02:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $86.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 01:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.