Careless-Formamide
0xa403f90e9dee2d16f6c3c583113aaf150a7cf224
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-18.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
9170 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
9164 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2306 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2303 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2301 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2299 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2296 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2294 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.01Jan 16, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Jan 15, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.3KDec 20, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$4.6KDec 20, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$4.6KDec 20, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.6KDec 20, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.3KDec 20, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.3KDec 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$9.81Dec 20, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.1KDec 20, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$84.69Dec 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.1KDec 20, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Dec 20, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.3KDec 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.3KDec 20, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$7.40Dec 20, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.3KDec 20, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Dec 20, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$4.6KDec 20, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".