Informal-Thanks
0xa406a2fb840839cf67928b407187e3ec165ebd18
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-40.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$935.00
$33.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
900 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$679.50
$49.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$430.49
$3.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Bridge" during Monday news conference?
1000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-299.99
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 6+ times in Corpus Christi on Friday?
937 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-299.84
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Tax" 6+ times in Wisconsin on Thursday?
845 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-367.71
- CELTICS
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
591 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-307.51
- NO
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
540 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-399.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" during the announcement on Thursday?
434 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-99.81
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.54Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$165.45Jun 1, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$464.55Jun 1, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$219.32Jun 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 1, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 1, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 1, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 1, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.58Jun 1, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.58Jun 1, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.58Jun 1, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.58Jun 1, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$12.20Jun 1, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$51.85Jun 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$51.85Jun 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$51.24Jun 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$7.88Jun 1, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.56Jun 1, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.56Jun 1, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$11.00Jun 1, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $88.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".