Intentional-Filing
0xa410a57e1eb12fc7987f9edf1c80fe6d6873ee71
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.05
Realised
$11.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
371 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
346 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
291 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,600 on October 6?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
170 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
160 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
145 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$5.00Jan 20, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 14, 10AM ET$6.29Jan 20, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 14, 10AM ET$4.59Jan 14, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)$1.00Dec 25, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2025-12-24?$1.41Dec 25, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2025-12-24?$1.00Dec 24, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)$1.00Dec 24, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$4.00Dec 23, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)$1.00Dec 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$2.00Dec 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)$7.61Dec 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner$3.00Dec 17, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner$1.88Dec 17, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner$2.00Dec 17, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)$5.00Dec 17, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO3)$7.76Dec 15, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)$9.40Dec 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)$5.20Dec 15, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3)$10.20Dec 15, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 11:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".