Treasured-Colon-Snap
0xa41d3d9ab30cb9081ad1472b4444cc178fd653e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$170.56
Total PnL
$-2.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
64 shares @ 39.2¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.56
$37.56
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
42 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.40
$0.40
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?
25 shares @ 61.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$18.57
$3.57
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?
47 shares @ 42.6¢·now 33.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$15.48
$-4.52
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?
21 shares @ 73.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$12.84
$-2.16
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
28 shares @ 54.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.58
$-5.42
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.87
$-2.13
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.26
$-1.74
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
125 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,800 June 29-July 5?$5.26Jul 4, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?$5.12Jul 2, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 2?$10.22Jul 2, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$5.13Jul 2, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$10.21Jul 2, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?$15.16Jul 2, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?$15.28Jul 2, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$5.11Jul 2, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?$15.34Jul 2, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?$15.41Jul 2, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 2?$5.18Jul 2, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$62.28Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$4.15Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$5.18Jul 1, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?$4.14Jun 30, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$10.28Jun 30, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?$34.95Jun 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$16.40Jun 30, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$40.00Jun 29, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?$5.06Jun 29, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $15.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.