Dental-Scale
0xa423415ecfd8ae4cccd4cb3528f8e28d03a94387
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-317.28
Realised
$3.12
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
18591 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-32.35
- NO
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
8790 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-17.58
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
7270 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 13?
4189 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.07
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
3120 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.24
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?
2480 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
1211 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.45
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?$5.02Jun 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?$2.16Jun 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?$4.00Jun 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?$6.40Jun 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $0.06Jun 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $0.43Jun 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $0.00Jun 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $0.70Jun 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $0.01Jun 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $5.10Jun 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $0.13Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $1.12Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $0.20Jun 18, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $1.05Jun 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.00Jun 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $1.00Jun 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on June 19?$1.05Jun 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 19?$1.04Jun 18, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 19?$1.04Jun 18, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19?$1.05Jun 18, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.