Elementary-Maker
0xa426561d251de8a6b3cc204516629bb193eb6dd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$37.16
Total PnL
$-0.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.66
$0.06
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.62
$0.02
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.58
$0.38
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.38
$0.18
- NO
Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.36
$0.00
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.34
$0.01
- NO
Will Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.32
$0.01
- NO
Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.31
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Apr 1, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.11Mar 31, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.14Mar 31, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.12Mar 31, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.21Mar 31, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.00Mar 31, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.31Mar 31, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.29Mar 31, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.25Mar 31, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.26Mar 31, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.33Mar 31, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.23Mar 31, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.30Mar 31, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.20Mar 31, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.12Mar 31, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.20Mar 31, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?$1.20Mar 31, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?$1.22Mar 31, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?$1.20Mar 31, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.15Mar 31, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $16.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 11:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.