Muddy-Simple
0xa428da17b9992a9101567ca5366509331f3ff846
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?
380 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.94
- YES
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?
133 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
120 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.04
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
107 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.57
- NO
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
40 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.40
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
39 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.07
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMHarvard international students ban ended by August 31?$0.00Jan 7, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$0.00Jan 7, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sue over South Park episode?$0.00Jan 7, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?$11.00Aug 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?$6.32Aug 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.87Aug 14, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?$2.76Aug 14, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?$0.68Aug 14, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?$1.17Aug 14, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?$0.33Aug 14, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?$5.85Aug 14, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Tariff" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$0.00Aug 9, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$0.00Aug 9, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Wednesday?$0.00Aug 9, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Epstein" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$30.00Aug 9, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$2.57Aug 7, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$1.80Aug 7, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$4.80Aug 7, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarvard international students ban ended by August 31?$4.20Aug 7, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sue over South Park episode?$2.70Aug 7, 00:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $5.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".