Thoughtful-Chateau
0xa42b830db4ab7ee10f67ee8422135a84d2a845d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$80.72
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-9.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3772 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$80.72
$25.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
319 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
307 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-21.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
257 shares @ 93.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-240.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
211 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-107.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
200 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
143 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
135 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
112 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
96 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.41
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$20.17May 29, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$20.35May 29, 15:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$30.00May 28, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$15.22May 25, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)$74.98May 25, 06:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?$18.90May 24, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$28.63May 24, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$18.99May 24, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $25.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".