Each-Mechanism
0xa430506774f9efaf39903ee7e0db1351f66891ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.2K
Realised
$-175.22
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
70036 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.9K
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-375.40
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-375.40
- YES
Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-375.40
- YES
Will Mediterranean Sea Rescue organizations win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-375.40
- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-375.40
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-375.40
- YES
Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-375.40
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-375.40
- YES
Will the European Union win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
14599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-375.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$80.4KOct 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Oct 10, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.55Oct 10, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.00Oct 10, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$40.00Oct 10, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.65Oct 10, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.40Oct 10, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$15.00Oct 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.78Oct 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Oct 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$48.99Oct 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$7.48Oct 10, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$100.00Oct 10, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$93.00Oct 10, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.17Oct 10, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.29Oct 10, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.55Oct 10, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".