Huge-Curve
0xa430cd2bd6a63094b816b68135785996c3c8f849
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-271.83
Realised
$2.10
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on June 14?
325 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 14?
203 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on June 16?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 15?
185 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 15?
173 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
150 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on June 6?
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 14?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 14?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?$4.53Jun 22, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?$4.66Jun 21, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?$4.18Jun 21, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 20?$4.19Jun 20, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 20?$3.89Jun 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?$3.89Jun 20, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?$3.28Jun 19, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on June 16?$1.05Jun 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 16?$1.05Jun 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16?$2.09Jun 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 14?$1.05Jun 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 13, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 13, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 13, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 15?$1.05Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 10:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.