0xa43a1f9bc8f56127d5bcf55d0d84ae82a17fc15b
0xa43a1f9bc8f56127d5bcf55d0d84ae82a17fc15b
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.91
Total PnL
$-34.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$3.91
$1.21
- YES
Will Vox (VOX) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 20 be between 3,250,000 and 3,500,000?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be between 17,500,000 and 17,750,000?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 20 be between 3,000,000 and 3,250,000?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 23?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
1006 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 29?
669 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?
267 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.70Dec 22, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vox (VOX) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?$4.00Dec 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?$4.00Dec 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be between 17,500,000 and 17,750,000?$4.00Dec 22, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 20 be between 3,000,000 and 3,250,000?$4.00Dec 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 20 be between 3,250,000 and 3,500,000?$4.00Dec 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?$4.00Dec 22, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 29?$4.00Dec 22, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 23?$4.00Dec 22, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$4.00Dec 22, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,300 December 15-21?$20.06Dec 22, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 21?$0.00Dec 21, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 21?$0.00Dec 21, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 21?$0.00Dec 21, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 21?$12.05Dec 21, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 21?$1.00Dec 21, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,300 December 15-21?$20.00Dec 21, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 21?$10.00Dec 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 21?$1.00Dec 21, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 21?$1.00Dec 21, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".