Other-Phrasing
0xa43b4b8c257b0f8cc9afcf811f8db124d52866c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?
739 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
703 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 27?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 23?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by 4-6%?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110,000 on November 19?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$77.28Jun 8, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$77.20Jun 8, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$77.18Jun 1, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$77.10May 30, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.18May 30, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?$79.08May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?$79.01May 26, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$2.22May 26, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$81.48May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$81.41May 21, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?$81.38May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?$81.31May 14, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$81.08May 12, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$81.00May 12, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?$2.31May 12, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$83.58May 9, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?$83.51May 9, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?$2.31May 9, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$85.09May 1, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$85.00Apr 30, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $62.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.