Happy-Tectonics
0xa43caab5e49dfff1d4fd3fd2218fe0c16042563e
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$76.09
Total PnL
$18.01
Realised
$-1.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 57.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$71.03
$30.03
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.21
$0.21
- YES
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
29 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
25 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
22 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.00Mar 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$2.00Mar 9, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$43.16Mar 9, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$43.03Feb 25, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.73Feb 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$6.40Feb 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$6.00Feb 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$2.57Feb 25, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$2.00Feb 25, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$0.00Feb 25, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.41Feb 25, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.56Feb 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$2.73Feb 25, 11:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $24.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 11:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.