Caring-Lobster
0xa442eb390944500d8d73d710edba85e929ec779d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$821.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12653 shares @ 7.0¢·now 13.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.7K
$850.17
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2493 shares @ 6.7¢·now 16.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$410.18
$244.10
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
1990 shares @ 22.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$328.35
$-116.23
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3355 shares @ 6.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$65.42
$-142.02
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1292 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$31.65
$0.66
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
128 shares @ 7.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.09
$-2.91
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
86 shares @ 11.6¢·now 7.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.62
$-3.38
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
82 shares @ 12.3¢·now 3.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.61
$-7.39
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.04
$-0.96
- NO
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.76Jun 11, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.11Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.02Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.60Jun 11, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.18Jun 10, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.85Jun 10, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$2.06May 31, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$62.21May 25, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.39May 25, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.40May 25, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.78May 25, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$103.69May 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.39May 25, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.35May 25, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.35May 25, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.37May 25, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.00Apr 26, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$34.12Apr 26, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$10.00Apr 26, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$2.00Apr 26, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $71.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.