Knowledgeable-Relaxation
0xa443e1be40dd05966da25805f4c8e6d1e9be5b07
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.28
Total PnL
$-70.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 7.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.28
$1.28
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 24?
282 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 24?
108 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.31
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
54 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Apr 30, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$10.34Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$13.89Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$7.25Apr 30, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$10.50Apr 29, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$3.50Apr 29, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$5.18Apr 29, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$10.37Apr 29, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$18.66Apr 29, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.03Apr 29, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.10Apr 29, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$10.34Apr 29, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$20.90Apr 29, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.11Apr 29, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.23Apr 29, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$11.21Apr 29, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$10.35Apr 29, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?$10.97Apr 29, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.15Apr 29, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 09:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.