Euphoric-Opening
0xa445c59c0531d28a13550f29d734b33520530286
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$848.92
Total PnL
$3.8K
Realised
$12.8K
Win rate
96%
141 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
181615 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$90.81
$-90.81
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
158558 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$79.28
$-79.28
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
149657 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$74.83
$-74.83
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
146757 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$73.38
$-73.38
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
131076 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$65.54
$-65.54
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
20143 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.43
$4.83
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
115254 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$57.63
$-57.63
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
44701 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$44.70
$0.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
87763 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$43.88
$-56.26
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
86440 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$43.22
$-43.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 25, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.01Jul 25, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.00Jul 25, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.01Jul 25, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 25, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$0.06Jul 25, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.02Jul 25, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.02Jul 25, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.02Jul 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.59Jul 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.02Jul 25, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.02Jul 25, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.02Jul 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 25, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.03Jul 25, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 141 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
141 closed markets, 96% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 141 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.