Self-Reliant-Trash
0xa44663e142a0622e0a27dd48267646a43fabed2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$9.78
Total PnL
$-18.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
164 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.77
$-0.08
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
5320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
5300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2720 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2710 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2560 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
2550 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.86Mar 21, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?$5.00Feb 6, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$15.00Feb 6, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Satya Nadella in January 2026?$85.00Feb 6, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: January$135.00Feb 6, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?$160.00Feb 6, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$720.00Feb 6, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get less than 70 million views on week 1?$1.00Jan 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill I'm The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 17?$1.00Jan 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 17?$1.00Jan 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.03Jan 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?$1.05Jan 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.08Jan 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?$505.00Jan 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$1.01Jan 14, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$1.01Jan 14, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $43.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".