Harmless-Instance
0xa447cfaa4fd7da3edccb1504d74a63605742da3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-377.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
FDA approves UX111?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?
150 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
105 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?
101 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.37
- YES
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
100 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.75Aug 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$3.50Aug 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security deal before September?$4.50Aug 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line in 2025?$3.50Aug 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$3.50Aug 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves UX111?$1.00Aug 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?$1.20Aug 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?$0.30Aug 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?$3.00Aug 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$6.50Aug 13, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next MrBeast video be between 25 and 30 min?$0.73Aug 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next MrBeast video be below 15 min?$2.20Aug 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$4.50Aug 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Putin shake hands by October 31?$1.55Aug 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.20Aug 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.50Aug 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.70Aug 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$3.35Aug 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut in 2025?$3.50Aug 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBritney Spears tour in 2025?$5.50Aug 13, 05:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 09:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 05:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".